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Feasibility of achieving the 2025 WHO global tuberculosis targets in South Africa, China, and India: a combined analysis of 11 mathematical models.

Identifieur interne : 001E96 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001E95; suivant : 001E97

Feasibility of achieving the 2025 WHO global tuberculosis targets in South Africa, China, and India: a combined analysis of 11 mathematical models.

Auteurs : Rein M G J. Houben [Royaume-Uni] ; Nicolas A. Menzies [États-Unis] ; Tom Sumner [Royaume-Uni] ; Grace H. Huynh [États-Unis] ; Nimalan Arinaminpathy [Inde] ; Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert [États-Unis] ; Hsien-Ho Lin [Taïwan] ; Chieh-Yin Wu [Taïwan] ; Sandip Mandal [Inde] ; Surabhi Pandey [Inde] ; Sze-Chuan Suen [États-Unis] ; Eran Bendavid [États-Unis] ; Andrew S. Azman [États-Unis] ; David W. Dowdy [États-Unis] ; Nicolas Bacaër [France] ; Allison S. Rhines [États-Unis] ; Marcus W. Feldman [États-Unis] ; Andreas Handel [États-Unis] ; Christopher C. Whalen [États-Unis] ; Stewart T. Chang [États-Unis] ; Bradley G. Wagner [États-Unis] ; Philip A. Eckhoff [États-Unis] ; James M. Trauer [Australie] ; Justin T. Denholm [Australie] ; Emma S. Mcbryde [Australie] ; Ted Cohen [États-Unis] ; Joshua A. Salomon [États-Unis] ; Carel Pretorius [États-Unis] ; Marek Lalli [Royaume-Uni] ; Jeffrey W. Eaton [Royaume-Uni] ; Delia Boccia [Royaume-Uni] ; Mehran Hosseini [Suisse] ; Gabriela B. Gomez [Pays-Bas] ; Suvanand Sahu [Suisse] ; Colleen Daniels [Suisse] ; Lucica Ditiu [Suisse] ; Daniel P. Chin [République populaire de Chine] ; Lixia Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Vineet K. Chadha [Inde] ; Kiran Rade [Inde] ; Puneet Dewan [Inde] ; Piotr Hippner [Afrique du Sud] ; Salome Charalambous [Afrique du Sud] ; Alison D. Grant [Royaume-Uni] ; Gavin Churchyard [Afrique du Sud] ; Yogan Pillay [Afrique du Sud] ; L David Mametja [Afrique du Sud] ; Michael E. Kimerling [Pays-Bas] ; Anna Vassall [Royaume-Uni] ; Richard G. White [Royaume-Uni]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:27720688

Abstract

The post-2015 End TB Strategy proposes targets of 50% reduction in tuberculosis incidence and 75% reduction in mortality from tuberculosis by 2025. We aimed to assess whether these targets are feasible in three high-burden countries with contrasting epidemiology and previous programmatic achievements.

DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30199-1
PubMed: 27720688


Affiliations:


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Le document en format XML

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<name sortKey="Arinaminpathy, Nimalan" sort="Arinaminpathy, Nimalan" uniqKey="Arinaminpathy N" first="Nimalan" last="Arinaminpathy">Nimalan Arinaminpathy</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK; Public Health Foundation of India, Delhi NCR, India.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK; Public Health Foundation of India, Delhi NCR</wicri:regionArea>
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<name sortKey="Goldhaber Fiebert, Jeremy D" sort="Goldhaber Fiebert, Jeremy D" uniqKey="Goldhaber Fiebert J" first="Jeremy D" last="Goldhaber-Fiebert">Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Stanford Health Policy, Centers for Health Policy and Primary Care and Outcomes Research, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<region type="state">Californie</region>
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<name sortKey="Lin, Hsien Ho" sort="Lin, Hsien Ho" uniqKey="Lin H" first="Hsien-Ho" last="Lin">Hsien-Ho Lin</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Taïwan</country>
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<name sortKey="Wu, Chieh Yin" sort="Wu, Chieh Yin" uniqKey="Wu C" first="Chieh-Yin" last="Wu">Chieh-Yin Wu</name>
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<name sortKey="Mandal, Sandip" sort="Mandal, Sandip" uniqKey="Mandal S" first="Sandip" last="Mandal">Sandip Mandal</name>
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<name sortKey="Pandey, Surabhi" sort="Pandey, Surabhi" uniqKey="Pandey S" first="Surabhi" last="Pandey">Surabhi Pandey</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Public Health Foundation of India, Delhi NCR, India.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Suen, Sze Chuan" sort="Suen, Sze Chuan" uniqKey="Suen S" first="Sze-Chuan" last="Suen">Sze-Chuan Suen</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Management Science and Engineering Dept, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Bendavid, Eran" sort="Bendavid, Eran" uniqKey="Bendavid E" first="Eran" last="Bendavid">Eran Bendavid</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Azman, Andrew S" sort="Azman, Andrew S" uniqKey="Azman A" first="Andrew S" last="Azman">Andrew S. Azman</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD</wicri:regionArea>
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<name sortKey="Dowdy, David W" sort="Dowdy, David W" uniqKey="Dowdy D" first="David W" last="Dowdy">David W. Dowdy</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD</wicri:regionArea>
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<name sortKey="Bacaer, Nicolas" sort="Bacaer, Nicolas" uniqKey="Bacaer N" first="Nicolas" last="Bacaër">Nicolas Bacaër</name>
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<name sortKey="Rhines, Allison S" sort="Rhines, Allison S" uniqKey="Rhines A" first="Allison S" last="Rhines">Allison S. Rhines</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA; Johnson & Johnson Global Public Health, Raritan, NJ, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA; Johnson & Johnson Global Public Health, Raritan, NJ</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">New Jersey</region>
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<name sortKey="Feldman, Marcus W" sort="Feldman, Marcus W" uniqKey="Feldman M" first="Marcus W" last="Feldman">Marcus W. Feldman</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA</wicri:regionArea>
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<region type="state">Californie</region>
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<name sortKey="Handel, Andreas" sort="Handel, Andreas" uniqKey="Handel A" first="Andreas" last="Handel">Andreas Handel</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Chang, Stewart T" sort="Chang, Stewart T" uniqKey="Chang S" first="Stewart T" last="Chang">Stewart T. Chang</name>
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<name sortKey="Wagner, Bradley G" sort="Wagner, Bradley G" uniqKey="Wagner B" first="Bradley G" last="Wagner">Bradley G. Wagner</name>
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<name sortKey="Eckhoff, Philip A" sort="Eckhoff, Philip A" uniqKey="Eckhoff P" first="Philip A" last="Eckhoff">Philip A. Eckhoff</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Seattle, WA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Seattle, WA</wicri:regionArea>
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<region type="state">Washington (État)</region>
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<name sortKey="Trauer, James M" sort="Trauer, James M" uniqKey="Trauer J" first="James M" last="Trauer">James M. Trauer</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia; The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country>
<wicri:regionArea>The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia; The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne</wicri:regionArea>
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<settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement>
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<name sortKey="Denholm, Justin T" sort="Denholm, Justin T" uniqKey="Denholm J" first="Justin T" last="Denholm">Justin T. Denholm</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country>
<wicri:regionArea>The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne</wicri:regionArea>
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<settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement>
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<name sortKey="Mcbryde, Emma S" sort="Mcbryde, Emma S" uniqKey="Mcbryde E" first="Emma S" last="Mcbryde">Emma S. Mcbryde</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia; The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country>
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<settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement>
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<author>
<name sortKey="Cohen, Ted" sort="Cohen, Ted" uniqKey="Cohen T" first="Ted" last="Cohen">Ted Cohen</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Salomon, Joshua A" sort="Salomon, Joshua A" uniqKey="Salomon J" first="Joshua A" last="Salomon">Joshua A. Salomon</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Massachusetts</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Pretorius, Carel" sort="Pretorius, Carel" uniqKey="Pretorius C" first="Carel" last="Pretorius">Carel Pretorius</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Avenir Health, Glastonbury, CT, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<wicri:regionArea>Avenir Health, Glastonbury, CT</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
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<name sortKey="Lalli, Marek" sort="Lalli, Marek" uniqKey="Lalli M" first="Marek" last="Lalli">Marek Lalli</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
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<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
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</placeName>
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<name sortKey="Eaton, Jeffrey W" sort="Eaton, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="Eaton J" first="Jeffrey W" last="Eaton">Jeffrey W. Eaton</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London</wicri:regionArea>
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<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
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</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Boccia, Delia" sort="Boccia, Delia" uniqKey="Boccia D" first="Delia" last="Boccia">Delia Boccia</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
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</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Hosseini, Mehran" sort="Hosseini, Mehran" uniqKey="Hosseini M" first="Mehran" last="Hosseini">Mehran Hosseini</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Strategic Information Department, The Global Fund, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Strategic Information Department, The Global Fund, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Gomez, Gabriela B" sort="Gomez, Gabriela B" uniqKey="Gomez G" first="Gabriela B" last="Gomez">Gabriela B. Gomez</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Global Health, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Global Health, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Amsterdam</settlement>
<region nuts="2" type="province">Hollande-Septentrionale</region>
<settlement type="city">Amsterdam</settlement>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Amsterdam</orgName>
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</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Sahu, Suvanand" sort="Sahu, Suvanand" uniqKey="Sahu S" first="Suvanand" last="Sahu">Suvanand Sahu</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Daniels, Colleen" sort="Daniels, Colleen" uniqKey="Daniels C" first="Colleen" last="Daniels">Colleen Daniels</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Ditiu, Lucica" sort="Ditiu, Lucica" uniqKey="Ditiu L" first="Lucica" last="Ditiu">Lucica Ditiu</name>
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<title xml:lang="en">Feasibility of achieving the 2025 WHO global tuberculosis targets in South Africa, China, and India: a combined analysis of 11 mathematical models.</title>
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<name sortKey="Houben, Rein M G J" sort="Houben, Rein M G J" uniqKey="Houben R" first="Rein M G J" last="Houben">Rein M G J. Houben</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>TB Modelling Group, TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Electronic address: rein.houben@lshtm.ac.uk.</nlm:affiliation>
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<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
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<name sortKey="Suen, Sze Chuan" sort="Suen, Sze Chuan" uniqKey="Suen S" first="Sze-Chuan" last="Suen">Sze-Chuan Suen</name>
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<name sortKey="Bendavid, Eran" sort="Bendavid, Eran" uniqKey="Bendavid E" first="Eran" last="Bendavid">Eran Bendavid</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<region type="state">Californie</region>
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<name sortKey="Azman, Andrew S" sort="Azman, Andrew S" uniqKey="Azman A" first="Andrew S" last="Azman">Andrew S. Azman</name>
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<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
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<nlm:affiliation>Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Handel, Andreas" sort="Handel, Andreas" uniqKey="Handel A" first="Andreas" last="Handel">Andreas Handel</name>
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<name sortKey="Chang, Stewart T" sort="Chang, Stewart T" uniqKey="Chang S" first="Stewart T" last="Chang">Stewart T. Chang</name>
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<name sortKey="Wagner, Bradley G" sort="Wagner, Bradley G" uniqKey="Wagner B" first="Bradley G" last="Wagner">Bradley G. Wagner</name>
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<name sortKey="Eckhoff, Philip A" sort="Eckhoff, Philip A" uniqKey="Eckhoff P" first="Philip A" last="Eckhoff">Philip A. Eckhoff</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Seattle, WA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
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<region type="state">Washington (État)</region>
</placeName>
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<name sortKey="Trauer, James M" sort="Trauer, James M" uniqKey="Trauer J" first="James M" last="Trauer">James M. Trauer</name>
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<name sortKey="Denholm, Justin T" sort="Denholm, Justin T" uniqKey="Denholm J" first="Justin T" last="Denholm">Justin T. Denholm</name>
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<name sortKey="Mcbryde, Emma S" sort="Mcbryde, Emma S" uniqKey="Mcbryde E" first="Emma S" last="Mcbryde">Emma S. Mcbryde</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia; The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country>
<wicri:regionArea>The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia; The Victorian Infectious Diseases Service, at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Microbiology and Immunology, the University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute, Melbourne</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement>
<region type="état">Victoria (État)</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Cohen, Ted" sort="Cohen, Ted" uniqKey="Cohen T" first="Ted" last="Cohen">Ted Cohen</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Salomon, Joshua A" sort="Salomon, Joshua A" uniqKey="Salomon J" first="Joshua A" last="Salomon">Joshua A. Salomon</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Massachusetts</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Pretorius, Carel" sort="Pretorius, Carel" uniqKey="Pretorius C" first="Carel" last="Pretorius">Carel Pretorius</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2">
<nlm:affiliation>Avenir Health, Glastonbury, CT, USA.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Avenir Health, Glastonbury, CT</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Lalli, Marek" sort="Lalli, Marek" uniqKey="Lalli M" first="Marek" last="Lalli">Marek Lalli</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>TB Modelling Group, TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>TB Modelling Group, TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Eaton, Jeffrey W" sort="Eaton, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="Eaton J" first="Jeffrey W" last="Eaton">Jeffrey W. Eaton</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Boccia, Delia" sort="Boccia, Delia" uniqKey="Boccia D" first="Delia" last="Boccia">Delia Boccia</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Hosseini, Mehran" sort="Hosseini, Mehran" uniqKey="Hosseini M" first="Mehran" last="Hosseini">Mehran Hosseini</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Strategic Information Department, The Global Fund, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Strategic Information Department, The Global Fund, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Gomez, Gabriela B" sort="Gomez, Gabriela B" uniqKey="Gomez G" first="Gabriela B" last="Gomez">Gabriela B. Gomez</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Global Health, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Global Health, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Amsterdam</settlement>
<region nuts="2" type="province">Hollande-Septentrionale</region>
<settlement type="city">Amsterdam</settlement>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université d'Amsterdam</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Sahu, Suvanand" sort="Sahu, Suvanand" uniqKey="Sahu S" first="Suvanand" last="Sahu">Suvanand Sahu</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Daniels, Colleen" sort="Daniels, Colleen" uniqKey="Daniels C" first="Colleen" last="Daniels">Colleen Daniels</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Ditiu, Lucica" sort="Ditiu, Lucica" uniqKey="Ditiu L" first="Lucica" last="Ditiu">Lucica Ditiu</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Stop TB Partnership, Geneva</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Chin, Daniel P" sort="Chin, Daniel P" uniqKey="Chin D" first="Daniel P" last="Chin">Daniel P. Chin</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, China Office, Beijing, China.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, China Office, Beijing</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Wang, Lixia" sort="Wang, Lixia" uniqKey="Wang L" first="Lixia" last="Wang">Lixia Wang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>National Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>National Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Chadha, Vineet K" sort="Chadha, Vineet K" uniqKey="Chadha V" first="Vineet K" last="Chadha">Vineet K. Chadha</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Epidemiology and Research Division, National Tuberculosis Institute, Bangalore, India.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Epidemiology and Research Division, National Tuberculosis Institute, Bangalore</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Bangalore</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Rade, Kiran" sort="Rade, Kiran" uniqKey="Rade K" first="Kiran" last="Rade">Kiran Rade</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>World Health Organization, Country Office for India, New Delhi, India.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country>
<wicri:regionArea>World Health Organization, Country Office for India, New Delhi</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>New Delhi</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Dewan, Puneet" sort="Dewan, Puneet" uniqKey="Dewan P" first="Puneet" last="Dewan">Puneet Dewan</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, New Delhi, India.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country>
<wicri:regionArea>The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, New Delhi</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>New Delhi</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Hippner, Piotr" sort="Hippner, Piotr" uniqKey="Hippner P" first="Piotr" last="Hippner">Piotr Hippner</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Charalambous, Salome" sort="Charalambous, Salome" uniqKey="Charalambous S" first="Salome" last="Charalambous">Salome Charalambous</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg</wicri:regionArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Grant, Alison D" sort="Grant, Alison D" uniqKey="Grant A" first="Alison D" last="Grant">Alison D. Grant</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Churchyard, Gavin" sort="Churchyard, Gavin" uniqKey="Churchyard G" first="Gavin" last="Churchyard">Gavin Churchyard</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Aurum Institute. Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Johannesburg</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Pillay, Yogan" sort="Pillay, Yogan" uniqKey="Pillay Y" first="Yogan" last="Pillay">Yogan Pillay</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>National Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>National Department of Health, Pretoria</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pretoria</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Mametja, L David" sort="Mametja, L David" uniqKey="Mametja L" first="L David" last="Mametja">L David Mametja</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>National Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country>
<wicri:regionArea>National Department of Health, Pretoria</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pretoria</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Kimerling, Michael E" sort="Kimerling, Michael E" uniqKey="Kimerling M" first="Michael E" last="Kimerling">Michael E. Kimerling</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:affiliation>Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, Seattle, WA, USA (currently KNCV Tuberculosisn Foundation, The Hague, Netherlands).</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr" wicri:curation="lc">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, Seattle, WA, USA (currently KNCV Tuberculosisn Foundation, The Hague</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>The Hague</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Vassall, Anna" sort="Vassall, Anna" uniqKey="Vassall A" first="Anna" last="Vassall">Anna Vassall</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="White, Richard G" sort="White, Richard G" uniqKey="White R" first="Richard G" last="White">Richard G. White</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3">
<nlm:affiliation>TB Modelling Group, TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country>
<wicri:regionArea>TB Modelling Group, TB Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Faculty of Epidemiology and Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName>
<settlement type="city">Londres</settlement>
<region type="country">Angleterre</region>
<region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series>
<title level="j">The Lancet. Global health</title>
<idno type="eISSN">2214-109X</idno>
<imprint>
<date when="2016" type="published">2016</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc>
<textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The post-2015 End TB Strategy proposes targets of 50% reduction in tuberculosis incidence and 75% reduction in mortality from tuberculosis by 2025. We aimed to assess whether these targets are feasible in three high-burden countries with contrasting epidemiology and previous programmatic achievements.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations>
<list>
<country>
<li>Afrique du Sud</li>
<li>Australie</li>
<li>France</li>
<li>Inde</li>
<li>Pays-Bas</li>
<li>Royaume-Uni</li>
<li>République populaire de Chine</li>
<li>Suisse</li>
<li>Taïwan</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region>
<li>Angleterre</li>
<li>Californie</li>
<li>Connecticut</li>
<li>Grand Londres</li>
<li>Géorgie (États-Unis)</li>
<li>Hollande-Septentrionale</li>
<li>Maryland</li>
<li>Massachusetts</li>
<li>New Jersey</li>
<li>Victoria (État)</li>
<li>Washington (État)</li>
</region>
<settlement>
<li>Amsterdam</li>
<li>Londres</li>
<li>Melbourne</li>
<li>Pékin</li>
</settlement>
<orgName>
<li>Université d'Amsterdam</li>
</orgName>
</list>
<tree>
<country name="Royaume-Uni">
<region name="Angleterre">
<name sortKey="Houben, Rein M G J" sort="Houben, Rein M G J" uniqKey="Houben R" first="Rein M G J" last="Houben">Rein M G J. Houben</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Boccia, Delia" sort="Boccia, Delia" uniqKey="Boccia D" first="Delia" last="Boccia">Delia Boccia</name>
<name sortKey="Eaton, Jeffrey W" sort="Eaton, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="Eaton J" first="Jeffrey W" last="Eaton">Jeffrey W. Eaton</name>
<name sortKey="Grant, Alison D" sort="Grant, Alison D" uniqKey="Grant A" first="Alison D" last="Grant">Alison D. Grant</name>
<name sortKey="Lalli, Marek" sort="Lalli, Marek" uniqKey="Lalli M" first="Marek" last="Lalli">Marek Lalli</name>
<name sortKey="Sumner, Tom" sort="Sumner, Tom" uniqKey="Sumner T" first="Tom" last="Sumner">Tom Sumner</name>
<name sortKey="Vassall, Anna" sort="Vassall, Anna" uniqKey="Vassall A" first="Anna" last="Vassall">Anna Vassall</name>
<name sortKey="White, Richard G" sort="White, Richard G" uniqKey="White R" first="Richard G" last="White">Richard G. White</name>
</country>
<country name="États-Unis">
<region name="Massachusetts">
<name sortKey="Menzies, Nicolas A" sort="Menzies, Nicolas A" uniqKey="Menzies N" first="Nicolas A" last="Menzies">Nicolas A. Menzies</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Azman, Andrew S" sort="Azman, Andrew S" uniqKey="Azman A" first="Andrew S" last="Azman">Andrew S. Azman</name>
<name sortKey="Bendavid, Eran" sort="Bendavid, Eran" uniqKey="Bendavid E" first="Eran" last="Bendavid">Eran Bendavid</name>
<name sortKey="Chang, Stewart T" sort="Chang, Stewart T" uniqKey="Chang S" first="Stewart T" last="Chang">Stewart T. Chang</name>
<name sortKey="Cohen, Ted" sort="Cohen, Ted" uniqKey="Cohen T" first="Ted" last="Cohen">Ted Cohen</name>
<name sortKey="Dowdy, David W" sort="Dowdy, David W" uniqKey="Dowdy D" first="David W" last="Dowdy">David W. Dowdy</name>
<name sortKey="Eckhoff, Philip A" sort="Eckhoff, Philip A" uniqKey="Eckhoff P" first="Philip A" last="Eckhoff">Philip A. Eckhoff</name>
<name sortKey="Feldman, Marcus W" sort="Feldman, Marcus W" uniqKey="Feldman M" first="Marcus W" last="Feldman">Marcus W. Feldman</name>
<name sortKey="Goldhaber Fiebert, Jeremy D" sort="Goldhaber Fiebert, Jeremy D" uniqKey="Goldhaber Fiebert J" first="Jeremy D" last="Goldhaber-Fiebert">Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert</name>
<name sortKey="Handel, Andreas" sort="Handel, Andreas" uniqKey="Handel A" first="Andreas" last="Handel">Andreas Handel</name>
<name sortKey="Huynh, Grace H" sort="Huynh, Grace H" uniqKey="Huynh G" first="Grace H" last="Huynh">Grace H. Huynh</name>
<name sortKey="Pretorius, Carel" sort="Pretorius, Carel" uniqKey="Pretorius C" first="Carel" last="Pretorius">Carel Pretorius</name>
<name sortKey="Rhines, Allison S" sort="Rhines, Allison S" uniqKey="Rhines A" first="Allison S" last="Rhines">Allison S. Rhines</name>
<name sortKey="Salomon, Joshua A" sort="Salomon, Joshua A" uniqKey="Salomon J" first="Joshua A" last="Salomon">Joshua A. Salomon</name>
<name sortKey="Suen, Sze Chuan" sort="Suen, Sze Chuan" uniqKey="Suen S" first="Sze-Chuan" last="Suen">Sze-Chuan Suen</name>
<name sortKey="Wagner, Bradley G" sort="Wagner, Bradley G" uniqKey="Wagner B" first="Bradley G" last="Wagner">Bradley G. Wagner</name>
<name sortKey="Whalen, Christopher C" sort="Whalen, Christopher C" uniqKey="Whalen C" first="Christopher C" last="Whalen">Christopher C. Whalen</name>
</country>
<country name="Inde">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Arinaminpathy, Nimalan" sort="Arinaminpathy, Nimalan" uniqKey="Arinaminpathy N" first="Nimalan" last="Arinaminpathy">Nimalan Arinaminpathy</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Chadha, Vineet K" sort="Chadha, Vineet K" uniqKey="Chadha V" first="Vineet K" last="Chadha">Vineet K. Chadha</name>
<name sortKey="Dewan, Puneet" sort="Dewan, Puneet" uniqKey="Dewan P" first="Puneet" last="Dewan">Puneet Dewan</name>
<name sortKey="Mandal, Sandip" sort="Mandal, Sandip" uniqKey="Mandal S" first="Sandip" last="Mandal">Sandip Mandal</name>
<name sortKey="Pandey, Surabhi" sort="Pandey, Surabhi" uniqKey="Pandey S" first="Surabhi" last="Pandey">Surabhi Pandey</name>
<name sortKey="Rade, Kiran" sort="Rade, Kiran" uniqKey="Rade K" first="Kiran" last="Rade">Kiran Rade</name>
</country>
<country name="Taïwan">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Lin, Hsien Ho" sort="Lin, Hsien Ho" uniqKey="Lin H" first="Hsien-Ho" last="Lin">Hsien-Ho Lin</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Wu, Chieh Yin" sort="Wu, Chieh Yin" uniqKey="Wu C" first="Chieh-Yin" last="Wu">Chieh-Yin Wu</name>
</country>
<country name="France">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Bacaer, Nicolas" sort="Bacaer, Nicolas" uniqKey="Bacaer N" first="Nicolas" last="Bacaër">Nicolas Bacaër</name>
</noRegion>
</country>
<country name="Australie">
<region name="Victoria (État)">
<name sortKey="Trauer, James M" sort="Trauer, James M" uniqKey="Trauer J" first="James M" last="Trauer">James M. Trauer</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Denholm, Justin T" sort="Denholm, Justin T" uniqKey="Denholm J" first="Justin T" last="Denholm">Justin T. Denholm</name>
<name sortKey="Mcbryde, Emma S" sort="Mcbryde, Emma S" uniqKey="Mcbryde E" first="Emma S" last="Mcbryde">Emma S. Mcbryde</name>
</country>
<country name="Suisse">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Hosseini, Mehran" sort="Hosseini, Mehran" uniqKey="Hosseini M" first="Mehran" last="Hosseini">Mehran Hosseini</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Daniels, Colleen" sort="Daniels, Colleen" uniqKey="Daniels C" first="Colleen" last="Daniels">Colleen Daniels</name>
<name sortKey="Ditiu, Lucica" sort="Ditiu, Lucica" uniqKey="Ditiu L" first="Lucica" last="Ditiu">Lucica Ditiu</name>
<name sortKey="Sahu, Suvanand" sort="Sahu, Suvanand" uniqKey="Sahu S" first="Suvanand" last="Sahu">Suvanand Sahu</name>
</country>
<country name="Pays-Bas">
<region name="Hollande-Septentrionale">
<name sortKey="Gomez, Gabriela B" sort="Gomez, Gabriela B" uniqKey="Gomez G" first="Gabriela B" last="Gomez">Gabriela B. Gomez</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Kimerling, Michael E" sort="Kimerling, Michael E" uniqKey="Kimerling M" first="Michael E" last="Kimerling">Michael E. Kimerling</name>
</country>
<country name="République populaire de Chine">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Chin, Daniel P" sort="Chin, Daniel P" uniqKey="Chin D" first="Daniel P" last="Chin">Daniel P. Chin</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Wang, Lixia" sort="Wang, Lixia" uniqKey="Wang L" first="Lixia" last="Wang">Lixia Wang</name>
</country>
<country name="Afrique du Sud">
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<name sortKey="Hippner, Piotr" sort="Hippner, Piotr" uniqKey="Hippner P" first="Piotr" last="Hippner">Piotr Hippner</name>
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<name sortKey="Charalambous, Salome" sort="Charalambous, Salome" uniqKey="Charalambous S" first="Salome" last="Charalambous">Salome Charalambous</name>
<name sortKey="Churchyard, Gavin" sort="Churchyard, Gavin" uniqKey="Churchyard G" first="Gavin" last="Churchyard">Gavin Churchyard</name>
<name sortKey="Mametja, L David" sort="Mametja, L David" uniqKey="Mametja L" first="L David" last="Mametja">L David Mametja</name>
<name sortKey="Pillay, Yogan" sort="Pillay, Yogan" uniqKey="Pillay Y" first="Yogan" last="Pillay">Yogan Pillay</name>
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